2026 Twin Cities Housing Market Outlook: What Buyers & Sellers Need to Know (with a Lakeville Focus)

As we step more into 2026, the Twin Cities housing market is showing encouraging signs of stabilization after a few turbulent years. Whether you're in Lakeville, Burnsville, or elsewhere in the South Metro, here's a straightforward, realistic outlook for what buyers and sellers can expect this year.Interest Rates: Stability with Room for Slight ImprovementMortgage rates have settled into a more predictable range after peaking higher in recent years. Forecasts suggest 30-year fixed rates averaging around 6.2% early in 2026, with a realistic possibility of easing toward 5.9% by year-end if inflation continues to cool. While not the steep drops some anticipated, even modest improvements make monthly payments more manageable and expand options for buyers in Lakeville, Burnsville, and across the metro. There are threads of hope that the mortgage rate will drop further this year, but only if we see economic indicators trending in the right direction.Home Prices: Modest, Sustainable GrowthThe days of double-digit annual increases are behind us. Across the Twin Cities, expect modest price appreciation of about 1–3% in 2026. In the South Metro:

• Burnsville values remain solid, with averages around $356,000–$395,000 (up roughly 1.8%+ in recent reports).
• Lakeville continues to perform strongly, with average home values hovering around $475,000 and median sales in the $440,000–$460,000 range, supported by its top-rated schools, family-friendly neighborhoods, and quick access to the metro.

This slower, steadier growth benefits everyone—buyers gain more affordability, and sellers still see healthy appreciation without extreme volatility.Inventory: Gradually Improving Toward BalanceInventory has been tight for years, often at just 2–3 months' supply in the Twin Cities. Early 2026 trends point to a modest increase in listings as more homeowners decide to move—perhaps due to stabilized rates, job changes, or life transitions. We're not expecting a buyer's flood of options, but the market is shifting toward greater balance, giving buyers in Lakeville and surrounding areas a bit more breathing room.What This Means for Buyers2026 looks like one of the more approachable years in recent memory. With improving affordability, slightly more choices, and less intense competition, it's a great time to act if you're ready—especially in desirable Lakeville neighborhoods with excellent schools, parks, and community amenities. Key steps:

• Get pre-approved.
• Prioritize homes with updates (new roofs, modern kitchens, or included warranties) to minimize surprises.
• Explore South Metro options—Lakeville offers strong value, while nearby Burnsville provides more entry-level opportunities.

If you're relocating, upsizing, or entering the market for the first time, the current "reset" creates real opportunities without the bidding wars of the past.What This Means for SellersSellers still hold advantages in most price ranges, particularly for well-maintained, move-in-ready homes. In Lakeville especially, properties that stand out (great curb appeal, recent updates, energy efficiency) are moving efficiently. Tips for success:

• Price realistically— I council my sellers to price compellingly - overpricing can extend days on market and lead to a lower overall net to sellers.
• Highlight buyer priorities (fenced yards, warranties, low-maintenance features).
• Consider incentives like a home warranty to make your listing more appealing.

The Bottom Line for 2026The Twin Cities market—especially the South Metro—is stabilizing into a healthier, more predictable environment. Whether you're buying in Lakeville, selling in Burnsville, or just keeping an eye on trends, 2026 offers solid opportunities for those who plan thoughtfully.If you're in Lakeville, Burnsville, or anywhere in the South Metro and want to discuss how these trends impact your specific situation, I'd love to connect. Reach out for a no-obligation market update, free home valuation, or personalized guidance on your next move.Here's to a successful 2026—let's turn your real estate goals into reality!
Best regards,
Liz Sandwick
Realtor®, Sandwick Real Estate Group
Coldwell Banker Realty
952-491-3685
liz@cbburnet.com
sandwickrealestategroup.com(Equal Housing Opportunity)

Twin Cities Real Estate, Lakeville, MN, Housing Market, 2026 Forecast

Is 2026 the Year to Buy in Lakeville? Current Trends & Predictions for the South Metro

Spring is right around the corner, and if you've been thinking about making a move in the Twin Cities area, 2026 could be one of the more balanced and opportunity-filled years in recent memory—especially here in Lakeville, my primary focus area.
The market has shifted from the extreme seller's market of the past few years toward something healthier: more inventory creeping in, steadier rates, and buyers gaining a bit more negotiating power. There seems to be more energy in the market than this time last year. Here's a clear look at what's happening now and what to expect as we head into the busy spring season.Mortgage Rates: Stability in the Low 6s, with Gradual Improvement Possible30-year fixed rates have been holding in the low-6% range (around 6.09–6.17% nationally as of late January 2026, per Freddie Mac and Bankrate). Forecasts from leading economists remain cautiously optimistic:

• Fannie Mae predicts rates could end 2026 around 5.9%.
• The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) expects them to stay in a narrow 6–6.5% band for much of the year.
• Other experts (e.g., NAR, Rocket Mortgage) see similar modest declines, potentially toward the low-6% or even briefly below 6% mid-year if inflation continues cooling.

Rates could be influenced by factors like the upcoming Federal Reserve chair transition (Jerome Powell's term ends in May 2026), but the Fed's independence means any shifts would likely be gradual and data-driven rather than abrupt. Overall, this environment is more predictable and buyer-friendly than recent years, making payments more manageable for Lakeville buyers seeking larger homes.Home Prices: Modest Growth, with Spring MomentumAcross the Twin Cities, home prices are expected to rise modestly—typically 1–3% overall in 2026, with some local reports pointing to 2–4% depending on the area. In the South Metro:

• Lakeville remains strong, with average home values around $475,000 and median sales in the $440,000–$460,000 range (single-family homes often closer to $458,000). Values are up about 1% year-over-year, reflecting steady demand without runaway growth.
• Nearby Burnsville offers more entry-level options, with medians around $356,000–$385,000 and similar modest appreciation.

Spring typically brings a seasonal bump—expect 2–3% potential price increases from increased buyer activity, multiple offers on well-priced homes, and a larger pool of active buyers. But overall, this is far more sustainable than past booms, giving buyers more time to shop thoughtfully.Inventory: Improving, Creating More ChoicesInventory has been the biggest challenge for years, but 2026 is showing gradual relief. More listings are coming on as homeowners gain confidence to move, shifting the market toward balance. In Lakeville, this means more options for those seeking great schools, parks, and community amenities without the intense competition of prior springs.Why 2026 Could Be a Great Year to Buy in Lakeville

• More breathing room: Less frenzy means you can tour homes, negotiate, and avoid bidding wars on every property.
• Seasonal advantages: Spring brings energy—sellers often list more, and buyers who waited out winter jump in. If you're ready, acting early in the season can help you secure a home before peak competition.
• Lakeville appeal: Top-rated schools, friendly neighborhoods, quick commutes to the metro, and strong resale potential make it a smart choice for long-term buyers.

If you're relocating, upsizing, or entering the market, focus on pre-approval, prioritizing updated homes (newer roofs, modern features, or included warranties), and exploring Lakeville's diverse offerings—from established subdivisions to newer builds.Tips for Buyers Right Now

• Get pre-approved to show sellers you're serious.
• Work with a local agent who knows Lakeville inside out for the best insights.
• Be flexible—spring listings move faster.

The bottom line: 2026 feels like a "reset" year—more balanced, more opportunities, and potentially one of the best windows in years to buy in Lakeville and the South Metro.If you're considering a move in Lakeville, Burnsville, or nearby, I'd love to help. Reach out for a no-obligation chat, current market update, or personalized search for homes that fit your needs.
Let's make 2026 your year—contact me today!
Best regards,
Liz Sandwick
Realtor®, Sandwick Real Estate Group
Coldwell Banker Realty
952-491-3685
liz@cbburnet.com
sandwickrealestategroup.com(Equal Housing Opportunity)